ULMS Electronic Module Catalogue |
The information contained in this module specification was correct at the time of publication but may be subject to change, either during the session because of unforeseen circumstances, or following review of the module at the end of the session. Queries about the module should be directed to the member of staff with responsibility for the module. |
Title | Financial Modelling | ||
Code | ECON815 | ||
Coordinator |
Dr Y Li Economics Yuyi.Li@liverpool.ac.uk |
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Year | CATS Level | Semester | CATS Value |
Session 2020-21 | Level 7 FHEQ | Second Semester | 15 |
Pre-requisites before taking this module (other modules and/or general educational/academic requirements): |
Modules for which this module is a pre-requisite: |
Programme(s) (including Year of Study) to which this module is available on a required basis: |
Programme(s) (including Year of Study) to which this module is available on an optional basis: |
Teaching Schedule |
Lectures | Seminars | Tutorials | Lab Practicals | Fieldwork Placement | Other | TOTAL | |
Study Hours |
12 |
24 6 |
42 | ||||
Timetable (if known) |
60 mins X 1 totaling 12
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120 mins X 1 totaling 24
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Private Study | 108 | ||||||
TOTAL HOURS | 150 |
Assessment |
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EXAM | Duration | Timing (Semester) |
% of final mark |
Resit/resubmission opportunity |
Penalty for late submission |
Notes |
Examination There is a resit opportunity. Standard UoL penalty applies for late submission. This is an anonymous assessment. Assessment Schedule (When): 2 | 24 hours | 80 | ||||
CONTINUOUS | Duration | Timing (Semester) |
% of final mark |
Resit/resubmission opportunity |
Penalty for late submission |
Notes |
Mid-term test (open book) There is a resit opportunity. Standard UoL penalty applies for late submission. This is an anonymous assessment. Assessment Schedule (When): 2 | 24 hours | 20 |
Aims |
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The aim of this module is to give the student an understanding of econometric and statistical methods for financial and economic time series. Important extensions include: stationary models for time series; testing for nonstationarity; models for nonstationary data; volatility models for financial time series; and models for multivariate data including vector autoregressions, error correction mechanisms and cointegration. Extensive use will be made of the econometrics package EViews in tutorials to supplement the theory with applications and to provide hands-on experience. The aims are that the student will: Understand a range of univariate and multivariate models of financial and economic time series and their applications; Understand the statistical characteristics of financial data including skewness, kurtosis and volatility; Understand the motivations, methods and limitations of multivariate modelling for economic and financial time-series; Be confident in the use of an econometric computer programme (EViews) for a range of methods and applications. |
Learning Outcomes |
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(LO1) Be able to specify and appreciate the main characteristics of a range of time series models; |
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(LO2) Be able to estimate appropriate models of financial and economic time series for purposes of forecasting and inference; |
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(LO3) Be able to apply univariate and multivariate model selection and evaluation methods; |
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(LO4) Be able to accommodate seasonality, causality, unit roots, and long run relationships in economic and financial time series; |
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(LO5) Be able to analytically investigate the skewness, kurtosis and volatility aspects of models such as ARIMA and ARCH models of economic and financial time series. |
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(S1) Communication skills. Communication skills will be developed through careful interpretation and guided discussion of results in practical sessions. |
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(S2) Planning and organisation skills. Students will develop this skill through the development of research plans for the dissertation. |
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(S3) IT skills. IT skills will be developed through the application of techniques taught in lectures to various real and artificial data sets. |
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(S4) Lifelong learning. Students will develop lifelong learning skills through the development of research capacity and critical thinking. |
Teaching and Learning Strategies |
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Mixed, hybrid delivery, with social distancing on campus Face-to-face seminars x 12 hours |
Syllabus |
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Univariate time series models; Stationary models for time series; Estimation and testing of ARIMA models; Choosing a model; Prediction with ARIMA models; Unit roots and nonstationarity; Testing for unit roots and random walks; Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity; Applications and examples; Multivariate time series models; Dynamic models with stationary variables; Models with nonstationary variables; Vector autoregressive models; Vector error correction models; Modelling cointegrated variables; Applications and examples; Software: Eviews. |
Recommended Texts |
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Reading lists are managed at readinglists.liverpool.ac.uk. Click here to access the reading lists for this module. |